Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.039061 1.257739 1.490126 1.753518 2.041912 2.346388 2.690483
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.792461 1.098773 1.447518 1.865774 2.346305 2.874534 3.492810
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.668608 1.021879 1.443514 1.967634 2.587304 3.284228 4.115618
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.546808 0.925941 1.400551 2.010999 2.751807 3.601849 4.632486
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.439646 0.828310 1.338589 2.016342 2.858414 3.841739 5.050581
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.330470 0.708923 1.234052 1.956418 2.876298 3.969765 5.332581
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.244439 0.606402 1.139001 1.897589 2.886478 4.081430 5.589281
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.183793 0.530633 1.071336 1.866568 2.924934 4.222047 5.876017
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.149362 0.492148 1.052595 1.897683 3.040056 4.454749 6.272352
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.116429 0.448392 1.020769 1.906898 3.124038 4.647162 6.618841
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.082749 0.392766 0.963960 1.876009 3.151650 4.766631 6.874509
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.078546 0.402513 1.013292 1.998576 3.384741 5.146158 7.451149
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.071394 0.406158 1.056684 2.119931 3.626897 5.550730 8.076441
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064131 0.407998 1.097282 2.238661 3.868149 5.957807 8.709836
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.057549 0.409447 1.136102 2.354025 4.104391 6.358284 9.335031
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044562 0.387077 1.130530 2.401229 4.246815 6.638680 9.811654
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030534 0.352979 1.099815 2.407458 4.330974 6.842975 10.192712
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015482 0.299228 1.025277 2.340934 4.310428 6.909271 10.399079
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006114 0.251509 0.954874 2.275692 4.287839 6.970071 10.596264
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001840 0.217269 0.906200 2.241219 4.305527 7.080731 10.853601
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000583 0.203283 0.899798 2.275787 4.422463 7.322863 11.278816
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000021 0.184567 0.879865 2.286016 4.503080 7.516244 11.641682
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.157621 0.835567 2.251713 4.516465 7.618483 11.886867